Uncertainty in Coal Property Valuation in West Virginia: A Case Study     

Michael E. Hohn  Ronald R. McDowell 《Mathematical Geology》2001,33(2):191-216

Interpolated grids of coal bed thickness are being considered for use in a proposed method for taxation of coal in the state of West Virginia (United States). To assess the origin and magnitude of possible inaccuracies in calculated coal tonnage, we used conditional simulation to generate equiprobable realizations of net coal thickness for two coals on a 7 min topographic quadrangle, and a third coal in a second quadrangle. Coals differed in average thickness and proportion of original coal that had been removed by erosion; all three coals crop out in the study area. Coal tonnage was calculated for each realization and for each interpolated grid for actual and artificial property parcels, and differences were summarized as graphs of percent difference between tonnage calculated from the grid and average tonnage from simulations. Coal in individual parcels was considered minable for valuation purposes if average thickness in each parcel exceeded 30 inches. Results of this study show that over 75% of the parcels are classified correctly as minable or unminable based on interpolation grids of coal bed thickness. Although between 80 and 90% of the tonnages differ by less than 20% between interpolated values and simulated values, a nonlinear conditional bias might exist in estimation of coal tonnage from interpolated thickness, such that tonnage is underestimated where coal is thin, and overestimated where coal is thick. The largest percent differences occur for parcels that are small in area, although because of the small quantities of coal in question, bias is small on an absolute scale for these parcels. For a given parcel size, maximum apparent overestimation of coal tonnage occurs in parcels with an average coal bed thickness near the minable cutoff of 30 in. Conditional bias in tonnage for parcels having a coal thickness exceeding the cutoff by 10 in. or more is constant for two of the three coals studied, and increases slightly with average thickness for the third coal.  相似文献   

THE RISK ASSESSMENT OF THE LONG-DISTANCE OILPIPELINE ENGINEERING     

Wang Jinghu  Mu Congru 《地理学报(英文版)》1996,(1)

LTkemskS0tu.ce0fL0ng-mstance0nflpeAncEwiceringSincel992,thenskassessmentoflongdistanceoilpipeline(LDOP)inN0rthwestChinahasbeenputtoagendasystematically.TheLD0PconstruCtionfromLiuyUantowntoLu0yangcltymakeuPthemajorpipelineengineeringwhichstrotchesover2,ll5kmandservesasoneofthemaJorcrudeoilpipelinesinnorthWestinlandroponofChina(Figurel).Theriskeventinducedbynaturaldisasterscanbedividedintofourwaysfl.EaffoquakcIhhistory,LD0PenrouteroponsexPenontaleafthquakes.Theearthquakemagntude,scal…  相似文献   

DISTRIBUTIONS AND HYDROLOGICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE RAINSTORMS AND FLOODS IN CHINA     

Wang Jiaqi  Shen Guochang  Geng Leihu  Gu Wenyan  Yao Huiming 《地理学报(英文版)》1996,(3)

I.horoductionPleNorthwestPacificOceanisti1elnostfrequentlyaffeCtedareaoftropicalcyclone(TC).AboLIt36percentTCoftheworldoccurinffosarea[2],andthenumberofTCWhichlandedonChinawiti1n1akimumwindforcescalesoverlOisabout35percentofti1atintheeastemcoastalcoLUitriesofAsia[l].BothrainstormsandfloodsMide,theidriuenceofTCareheaVyinChina,suchastherainfalldePthof2749mm/3datXinliao,Taiwanandpeakdischargeof44,6oOm'/satHuanggo(55,42okn'),YalujiangRjver.Therefore,TCisanimportantfaCtorforflooddisas…  相似文献   

碎石桩加固冷却塔地基效果的检测技术与质量评价     

黄理兴  陈平 《岩土力学》1996,17(4):70-77

介绍了安阳电厂冷却塔碎石桩复合地基静载、动力触探、瑞利波法系列原位试验。根据试验结果，对冷却塔地基加固与改良效果及施工质量进行了评价。  相似文献   

基于GIS的供电台区经营综合评价     

王玲  边馥苓 《测绘信息与工程》2005,30(6):32-33

探讨了运用GIS技术对供电台区经营综合评价的实现方法,选取了业务属性和空间属性两个方面评价因子,介绍了从系统软硬件、评价实现过程及显示结果等方面评价过程的具体技术实现。  相似文献   

DMC＋4小卫星在国际灾害监测中的应用与评价   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8  

李伯林  左烨 《遥感学报》2005,9(4):468-474

针对国际灾害监测星座应用技术和中国各种自然灾害的现状,着重研究了DMC(DisasterMonitoringConstellation)星座应用技术和DMC 4小卫星的数据特点,研究了利用小卫星星座对防灾、抗灾救灾的突出作用,研究了小卫星地面系统集成技术和星地一体化运营、管理和控制体系,以便进一步推动国内小卫星技术、遥感应用技术、卫星星座技术、天地一体化运管控技术和机制创新的发展。促进中国灾害监测星座的研制,最终实现对各种自然灾害的实时、动态监测。  相似文献   

Quality Assessment Of Digital Surface Models Generated From IKONOS Imagery     

Joanne  Poon  Clive S.  Fraser  Zhang  Chunsun  Zhang  Li  Armin  Gruen 《The Photogrammetric Record》2005,20(110):162-171

The growing applications of digital surface models (DSMs) for object detection, segmentation and representation of terrestrial landscapes have provided impetus for further automation of 3D spatial information extraction processes. While new technologies such as lidar are available for almost instant DSM generation, the use of stereoscopic high-resolution satellite imagery (HRSI), coupled with image matching, affords cost-effective measurement of surface topography over large coverage areas. This investigation explores the potential of IKONOS Geo stereo imagery for producing DSMs using an alternative sensor orientation model, namely bias-corrected rational polynomial coefficients (RPCs), and a hybrid image-matching algorithm. To serve both as a reference surface and a basis for comparison, a lidar DSM was employed in the Hobart testfield, a region of differing terrain types and slope. In order to take topographic variation within the modelled surface into account, the lidar strip was divided into separate sub-areas representing differing land cover types. It is shown that over topographically diverse areas, heighting accuracy to better than 3 pixels can be readily achieved. Results improve markedly in feature-rich open and relatively flat terrain, with sub-pixel accuracy being achieved at check points surveyed using the global positioning system (GPS). This assessment demonstrates that the outlook for DSM generation from HRSI is very promising.  相似文献   

一次诱发山地灾害突发性暴雨数值模拟及诊断分析   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

慕建利  杜继稳  张弘  侯建忠  赵奎锋 《气象》2005,31(12):36-40

应用MM5V3.5中尺度非静力数值模式对2003年7月14～15日发生在陕西省一次区域性暴雨过程进行数值模拟和诊断分析,结果发现,西太平洋副热带高压西侧的暖湿气流和新疆冷空气是这次暴雨的主要影响系统,充沛的水汽输送、能量的积聚和强烈的上升运动为暴雨的发生提供了充分的条件,700hPa低涡、切变线是暴雨形成的触发机制.模拟结果表明：涡度场和散度场及垂直上升运动互耦;特强辐合辐散柱的出现早于强涡度柱,而深厚的强气旋性涡柱则几乎与暴雨最强盛时期同时出现.  相似文献   

两个30年气候平均值的差异及其对气候业务的影响   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7       下载免费PDF全文

雷向杰黄祖英  田武文胡春娟 《气象科技》2005,33(2):124-127

对陕西短期气候预测业务使用的39个气象站气候要素1971～2000年平均值与1961～1990年平均值进行比较，发现大部分地区年平均气温升高，晴天日数增加；年降水量、阴天日数、降水日数、年日照时数减少；年大风日数、沙尘暴日数、冰雹日数、雷暴日数减少等。把两个平均值放在长序列中分析，发现某些气象要素最近的气候平均值的差值在20世纪80～90年代期间的5～6个气候平均值每两个相邻平均值的差值中是最大的，说明陕西20世纪90年代气候较60年代干燥、温暖，且90年代气温高、降水少的特点十分突出。还对某些要素平均值改变对气候影响评价、气候预测业务产生的影响进行简要分析。  相似文献   

WAFS产品中GRIB资料中国区产品评估   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

苏丽蓉  温志军 《气象科技》2005,33(4):373-377

为了给使用WAFS产品的用户提供量化参考依据，选取WAFS产品中常用区域和层次的GRIB数据，利用由国家气象中心提供的风、温客观分析网格点资料，与WAFS中同时刻的预报场产品（风、温网格点资料），用均方根误差进行数字化形式分析比较。结果表明：WAFS提供的风、温预报，通常是短时效的风、温预报比长时效的风、温预报更接近客观分析场；低层的预报比高层的预报更接近客观分析场；风的预报以v矢量的预报优于u矢量的预报；风的误差主要来源于u矢量的误差。  相似文献